Back at the beginning of 2012, I did some statistical analysis on the age of the clergy in the Western North Carolina Conference of the United Methodist Church. What is interesting is a lot of the trends I saw are now coming true.
I saw that 49% of the clergy in 2012 were over 55 years. I predicted there would be a tsunami of retirements coming and low and behold there are. Last year we had over 50+ clergy retire and the current rumor (I don’t know the actual number) is that we will have that many if not more. The retiring class for 2017 & 2018 is guaranteed to be in the triple digits. This is unprecedented and could possibly be our new reality.
My number was called and I will be moving in July. I will say goodbye to Indian Trail UMC and hello to Milford Hills UMC. This transition comes because of what I predicted in 2012. I revisited my posts and I am sad to see that some of my predictions have come or are coming true.
As we deal with a dwindling amount of clergy, it will be interesting to see how the cabinet handles these new realities. I wonder if other conferences have dealt with this already? I wonder what solutions they have come up with and are they working?
It would be interesting to get my hands on this information again and see if we have improved our age demographic or if we are looking at even worse numbers. However, I don’t have access to that information, so I’ll just have to wait and see.